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Political Changes over Next Decade Will Be Limited to Statewide Elections Due to Gerrymandering

Republican gerrymandering of Wisconsin districts assure Republican control of both state houses with less than majority vote.

Due to the unfettered gerrymandering of districts that the Republicans did behind closed doors, it is almost assured that the state GOP will continue to control the Legislature for the next 10 years.

Republicans made sure that as many Democrats were squeezed into as few districts as possible, leaving the majority of the districts as easy wins for Republicans.

In this past Nov. 6 election, the Republicans took control of both state houses with 200,000 fewer statewide votes than the Democrats received.

From Urban Milwaukee, online magazine, on Wednesday 11/21/2012:

"Republicans won 56 of the 76 contested Assembly seats in the Nov. 6 election. That’s 74 percent of the seats — which they won with just 52 percent of the 2.2 million votes.

The Democratic Party of Wisconsin furnished the Center with data showing that if uncontested races were included in the analysis, Democrats actually received 200,000 more Assembly votes than Republicans. Most uncontested races were in Democratic districts."

“There is no question — none — that the recent redistricting effort distorted the vote,” said Ken Mayer, a professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. “Nobody takes seriously the notion that the legislative plan for congressional districts wasn’t politically motivated.”

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What does this mean for Wisconsin voters and government?

First of all, since all foreseeable Legislative races for the next 10 years are virtually assured of having Republicans controlling both houses, the only way for Democrats to have any input is to concentrate on statewide races, which are decided by the total popular vote.

Statewide races include among others, governor, state attorney general, Supreme Court justices, and both U.S. Senate seats.

Unfortunately, even if the Democrats are successful in electing Democrats as governor, if the Republicans follow their federal strategy of obstructionism and non-compromise, as they have with President Obama, gridlock may become the Wisconsin government status quo.

Randy1949 November 27, 2012 at 03:22 pm
So you're agreeing with the Russians now? That's a first.
Random Blog Commenter November 27, 2012 at 04:51 pm
Mr. Tatorowicz,
The courts have long ruled that there is nothing wrong with politicians engaging in politics. The state GOP has presented an opportunity to state Democrats. There are alot of districts that are nominally GOP and can be won by state Dems with a candidate and message that fits that district and if people develop a distrust of the Republican who currently holds that seat. It is up to state Democrats to find those candidates and message and build from the ground up. It is quite possible to do because supposedly locked-in majorities tend to make that party complacent after a few years. It also exposes internal divisions. However, state Democrats will not find that message, nor those candidates, if the likes of Sen. Chris Larson becomes the ideological lead of the party. There is a reason why state GOP senators openly applauded when he was selected as senate minority leader. He will keep his own party divided while he becomes a party power broker rather than a leader. Sen. Taylor should vote with the GOP on an issue here and there just to mess with Larson's head.
The Donny Show November 27, 2012 at 05:55 pm
Senator Taylor has not had an original thought since 1987. She does what she is told and says what she is told to say. No chance she can do such.
Greg November 27, 2012 at 06:18 pm
Before you lefties jump off of the bridge read this:
http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/purple-wisconsin/180886781.html
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 06:27 pm
@Gearhead Please explain the Federal Candy with the strings attached in regards to the Health Exchanges.
I am confused by these Republicans who insist that everything be done at the local level -- and then pass on controlling the Health Exchange in Wisconsin in lieu of the Fed's taking control. If you are inferring that it would cost WI to run it as an unfunded mandate --- it is paid for by the participating insurance companies. Just as the County owns the airport but we Don't pay for it with tax money --- the airlines pay the fees ....... which is why David Clarke was actually correct when he said it costs nothing for the Sheriff to patrol the airport -- the airlines are footing the bill.
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 06:32 pm
@Terry There are all kinds of technical manuvers that legislative bodies use --- such as the Quorum --- do you see any difference in the Democrats Legally (no crime committed) in denying a quorum as opposed to the Republicans using the Filibuster, as a minority needing only 41 votes, to deny consideration of legislation?
I would be in favor of eliminating filibusters, and even having rules considering when the lack of quorum is legal and not legal -- but for now, all is fair when following the rules as they exist.
Dr. Saul Funkhouser November 27, 2012 at 07:00 pm
Your outrage is selective to the parties you disagree with. If the shoe was on the other foot your silence would be deafening.
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 07:51 pm
@Bren I understand it is that way in a number of states --- but I would not hold my breath on it happening if either party has temporary control
morninmist November 27, 2012 at 08:10 pm
ha ha
ScooterChrist Walker @ScooterChrist 2m "Gov. #Walker is hopeful #JohnDoe probe will end soon, maybe this week" Without an indictment!!! po.st/VSuNew #wiunion
Bert November 27, 2012 at 08:56 pm
David - unless you live inside the right wing information vacuum, you're probably not aware of the many conspiracies that people like gearhead believe in. You know - Obamacare wants states to expand Medicaid coverage, with the federal government paying 100% of that expansion for the first 3 years. After that, it PLUMMETS to 97%. (Never mind that the feds only fund about 55% of the current Medicaid program, this is obviously a trap!)
Your greater point about the impact of gerrymandering is quite valid, not only here in WI. In Ohio, a state the Obama won by 3 points, 75% of the US Representatives elected were Republicans. Again, adding up all the votes for US Reps, the Democrats got more votes, but nowhere near half the seats. This gerrymandering is seriously harming US policy, as these "safe" republicans are more worried about getting tea bagged in their primaries than they are about a moderate Democratic challenge in the general.
Bert November 27, 2012 at 09:09 pm
Brian - in the recall election, the notion of recalling a governor lost more than Walker won. This point was backed up by the fact that Obama won the state by a large margin, and the very liberal Senate candidate beat Walker's man. Walker (and Johnson) won in an off-year election during a strong pro-republican wave. Johnson's re-election will be in a Presidential election year - he'll have a hard time holding that seat if he sticks to his tea party policies. Walker will pull a Romney and not run again, trying to protect his national chances as it becomes clear he won't win a 2nd term.
Bert November 27, 2012 at 09:14 pm
Gearhead - when voter suppression is the only way for your party to maintain power, you are no longer allowed to refer to your belief in "freedom" or "democracy". If you DO believe in "freedom" and "democracy", then you would commit yourself to the goal of 100% citizen participation.
Perhaps you believe - as Alberta Darling does - that Obama won Wisconsin due to voter fraud. Clearly, a scheme that resulted in over 200,000 fraudulent votes would be big enough for even the colossally incompetent Walker administration to sniff out! (Your argument is a joke, albeit a sick, anti-democracy kind of joke)
Bert November 27, 2012 at 09:18 pm
Walker's greatest accomplishment to date - somehow avoiding indictment for past crimes!
The Anti-Alinsky November 27, 2012 at 09:18 pm
David, check out the image I just uploaded. That is what a Gerrymandered district looks like.
Wisconsin's new assembly districts stood up to a court challenge with one exception. The court took two Milwaukee districts that likely would have both gone to Hispanic candidates, and made one more predominately Hispanic. This guaranteed one Hispanic victory, but reduced the odds in the other. Look at New York or Illinois if you really want to see what Gerrymandering looks like!
The Anti-Alinsky November 27, 2012 at 09:19 pm
The point, Randy, is even Vladamir Putin realizes how Socialist B.O. is!
Greg November 27, 2012 at 09:40 pm
What a pair!
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 09:56 pm
@Craig I know what I am not smoking --- but WOW --- what are you smoking --- try reading what you wrote when you are sober or not stoned --- and if you are neither that is even scarier
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:01 pm
@Kenneth Very good points --- may I add that when Walker keeps making policy announcements on the other side of the country as he panders for money and influence among the radical conservatives, he will not be gaining any votes and will open the eyes of many who were fooled the first two times in electing him
Craig November 27, 2012 at 10:02 pm
No David, I don't smoke the shit. But you have admitted to doing so on other posts. That is why you can't sell any real estate, too busy with your bong and then your bag of chips.
I think you are just pissed you didn't get your corporate welfare Obamabucks.
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:09 pm
@Richard --- Damn, I have to put that on my reading list, right after I finish Sun Tzu's Art of War ............
@Lyl --- OMG they figured out we both live in Shorewood !!! BTW have I ever met you, at least not that I can recall --- maybe we can meet with Richard somewhere for a drink and he can learn us up on all that conspiracy stuff -- of course only if he buys LOL
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:21 pm
@Richard Me thinks you are imbibing a bit too much in the Kook Aide !!
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:23 pm
@ TDS AS I responded to Terry above --- There are all kinds of technical manuvers that legislative bodies use --- such as the Quorum --- do you see any difference in the Democrats Legally (no crime committed) in denying a quorum as opposed to the Republicans using the Filibuster, as a minority needing only 41 votes, to deny consideration of legislation?
I would be in favor of eliminating filibusters, and even having rules considering when the lack of quorum is legal and not legal -- but for now, all is fair when following the rules as they exist.
Craig November 27, 2012 at 10:28 pm
David: Did you forget that you made comment on the articles below, or were you just high?
http://menomoneefalls.patch.com/blog_posts/why-we-should-legalize-drugs http://menomoneefalls.patch.com/articles/will-wisconsin-ever-have-a-vote-on-legalizing-marijuana
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:29 pm
@ Random BC I have not stated that the Republicans did anything wrong or illegal when they Gerrymandered --- as you say, nothing wrong with politicians engaging in politics.
I simply noted the consequences of what that means for the future, and that the most viable ways of restraining the Radical Right is working on elections that are state wide. Having said that --- in the future I would love to see "non-political" districts drawn, but it will be another 10 years before that will be an issue again, and unless our politicians, on both sides, would miraculously agree to a non-political process, whichever side has the advantage will probably make use of it
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:34 pm
@ A-A Of course the courts did not change any of the ones that were drawn for political reasons, As Random Blog C noted above, there is nothing illegal about political gerrymandering --- maybe it should be, but at the present it isn't.
Gerrymandering which impacts protected classes however are illegal and that is why the courts acted as they did -- only as pertained to protected classes.
David Tatarowicz November 27, 2012 at 10:40 pm
@ Craig Do you understand the difference between present tense and past tense?
Do you understand the difference between advocating for something without actively engaging in it? BTW -- I run two successful businesses and haven't been in real estate full time for years now since I had a knee injury that kept me on the sidelines for quite some time --- hard to show houses when using a walker!! What do you do Craig? I would guess not much as you spend a lot of time on here, much more than I could ever spend while having a life.
Craig November 28, 2012 at 04:37 am
Puff, puff, pass.
'sal good if it is medicinal huh
Terry November 29, 2012 at 05:32 pm
To answer your question Dave, I don't like the Fillibuster (which both parties have used, not just Republicans). Proposals should be considered, debated, and voted on.
But this is not as direct a comparison as you would wish it in any event. The Filibuster is a administrative rule that is pretty much limited to the Federal congress. I don't believe there is an administrative rule at the state level that would allow that to be legal either. Could be wrong on that though, but if that was a legal option available to them, then why not use that instead of fleeing the state?
The Anti-Alinsky November 29, 2012 at 11:52 pm
Sorry David, but there are certain federal guidelines that have to be followed, primarily concerning race.
Ima Hippee November 30, 2012 at 12:21 am
Morninmist - Hilary went to Benghazi and all I got was a bloody t-shirt.

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Steve ® June 10, 2013 at 03:55 pm
So? What was used and what harm does it cause? Although ironic this may provide more good thanRead More harm. What is written on the application sign?
Cricket June 11, 2013 at 01:31 pm
The bluff and other areas need to be planted with things that will snuff out the weeds. They areRead More harmful to animals and possibly birds, of which there are many at atwater. Obviously not many animals but there are squirrels and rabbits and other native mammals. Not to mention the kids at the play area. Most adult humans can handle an occasional wiff of a pesticide but not children or animals. I have held several pesticide licenses in my day so I have had much course work on this. I am surprised the village has done this but I know restoration is about to begin - again - on the bluff and perhaps they are trying to rid the bluff of all the weeds. It is a shame that the 15+ kids they hire every year can't be up there weeding instead. I don't know what else they could be doing as the village has reduced the amount of annual flower beds that need to be maintained.
PaulRevere June 10, 2013 at 12:40 pm
The liberal minded Patch had it going their way for some time. Then, the contrary opinions became aRead More "voice to be heard". So, like all liberal media, just shut down the "free speech". Speech that educates the people is a NO-NO in the world of "public education". Have no fear, other avenues to educate the public is on the way.
CowDung June 10, 2013 at 12:53 pm
Given the amount of liberal propaganda that is posted around here, one does have to wonder if PatchRead More intended to make it more difficult to reply to comments (and set the record straight)...
Mike Stevens June 14, 2013 at 07:20 am
Wow, PaulRevere, AKA the hardest working person in America, who only takes 1 day per month off andRead More who believes all evil is related to public schooling, has time to not only comment on St. Louis area Patch sites, but on Milwaukee area sites as well? Paul, perhaps you should go back to school to check your grammar--other avenues to educate the public ARE on the way, not IS on the way. Oh, you must be too busy working 20 hours a day (but finding tons of time to comment on several Patch sites) to check grammar
Walker celebrates after defeating the liberal unionista blue fisters
Steve ® June 6, 2013 at 12:10 pm
Sure Keith. I am sure every time you use the term Tea Bagger it is not vulgar. The symbol for yourRead More failed recall movement was a Blue Fist. No one wants to be ruled by a fist and I don't see how that is vulgar when your own logo was a blue fist. Try again.
Keith Schmitz June 6, 2013 at 01:03 pm
Are you assuming we're stupid Steve? Don't. BTW -- you called yourselves Tea Baggers. We're onlyRead More using the term you selected. What a great PR roll-up for this group of Neanderthals. You're problem with that any fister reference is usually the speaker feels it is where his head should be.
Greg June 6, 2013 at 01:10 pm
OHHHHHHHHHHHHH, that is why their fists are blue, OUCH!
Bob McBride June 6, 2013 at 09:04 am
I think if you look at most of the sites still running the older version, you'll see the sameRead More messages of impending doom we got just before the change...
Bob McBride June 6, 2013 at 09:15 am
I got the name wrong, it was "Bellmore", not Belmont. It was part of rollout of what atRead More the time was being referred to as "Patch 2.0" in the press. It was rolled out to five towns in the Long Island, NY area in September of last year. I'm going to attempt to post a link to an article:: http://www.poynter.org/latest-news/mediawire/189296/aols-redesigned-patch-websites-make-a-play-for-neighborhood-groups/
CowDung June 6, 2013 at 09:30 am
"I think if you look at most of the sites still running the older version, you'll see the sameRead More messages of impending doom we got just before the change... " | I think that's true, Bob. I poked around at a number of Patch sites around the country and the 'Welcome to the New Patch' articles were full of the same complaints we are seeing here. | This Patch redesign seems to be the 'New Coke' of websites...
Greg June 4, 2013 at 03:38 pm
Starting at ONLY $70,000.00 Time to cash in your aluminum cans.