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Walker's Jobs Announcement Fodder for Both Sides

Facing a recall election, the governor says new jobs numbers released Wednesday are a more accurate reflection of how the state is doing. Meanwhile, Democrats are calling the new report political spin and a stunt.

 

Gov. Scott Walker released a new set of job numbers Wednesday morning that showed the state gained 23,300 public and private sector jobs during 2011, up from a previously-reported drop of 33,900.

The new numbers come from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, part of a national report due to be issued on June 28, according to an Associated Press report.

With Walker pushing the announcement three weeks ahead of the June 5 recall election, reaction has been predictably and wildly mixed.

Walker's campaign said the numbers more accurately reflect what is happening in the state. The data is comprised of reports issued to 96 percent of Wisconsin employers and makes the numbers "much more reliable," according to a news release.

"With more than 33,000 jobs created since Governor Walker took office and the unemployment rate plummeting to its lowest since 2008, it is certain the governor's bold reforms and leadership are moving Wisconsin forward," campaign spokeswoman Ciara Matthews said.

Sandy Pasch (D-Whitefish Bay), meanwhile, called the jobs report political spin and a "self-serving attempt to distract from his failed record of extreme policies and job losses.

"He is cynically trying to mislead voters before his recall election by continuing to say or do anything to keep his job," Pasch continued. 

"Wisconsin would be better served with a governor who spent more time actually working to create jobs than flying around the country raising ridiculous amounts of money from his extreme special-interest friends."

Tom Barrett's campaign added to the fodder Wednesday, releasing a statement ripping the announcement as "election-nomics." It said Wednesday's numbers distract attention from Walker's "worst-in-the-nation jobs record," a reference to a study from the Bureau of Labor Statistics that showed Wisconsin with more job losses from March 2011 to March 2012 than any state in the nation.

"Today's cynical announcement isn't about how best to calculate job growth in Wisconsin – this is about Scott Walker pulling political stunts to save his own job," Barrett's communications director Phil Walzak said.

Media reports about today's news have also differed.

"Walker Dislikes Job Numbers, So He'll Put Out His Own" was the headline from Bloomberg, while economists quoted in an Associated Press story say the new jobs numbers are more accurate.

Related Topics: Jobs numbers, Sandy Pasch, Tom Barrett, Walker Recall, and Wisconsin Politics

CowDung

2:18 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Interesting how Pasch and Barrett are pointing to the 33,000 jobs that were actually added over the past year and claiming that Walker is trying to distract people from the reports of 'job losses' of the past year...

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Keith Schmitz

5:42 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

What in the world would make us think that this hook wouldn't be firmly embedded in your mouth? What a shocking surprise!

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Bob McBride

6:07 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

You hit Keith's sore spot there, CD.

Bewildered

2:38 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Bad day to be Dem. Turns out instead of losing 32k jobs, Walker Admin. created 23k. Oops, there goes Barrett's main talking point.

Re: timming of revised #s, why in the world would Walker NOT speed up announcement? Come on, really! Interesting Dems are fussing about timing, not the new #s themselves. Reason why? They know they are correct.

And did I mention +6% Walker in today's Marquette poll ( even in Dem's own poll, Walker up 5).
Oh my !!!!

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Jay Sykes

3:22 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Hmmm... now do I believe the 32k job loss calculation done through polling of 3.5% of all employers or the DWD-UI quarterly employment tax returns, just released, showing 23k jobs created.

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Greg

3:25 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

As I see it:
Walker's Fodder - We have created jobs in Wisconsin.
Democrat's Fodder - They have done NOTHING to create a single job. Obstruction is their plan.

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Geoff Tolley

4:02 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

So the story is, Walker lied in March last year when he claimed that 10,000 private sector jobs were created that January because he knew the statistic he was pointing to was wrong?

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Bewildered

4:58 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Nice try but not buying your spin to delect the truth that Walker is adding jobs. Seems like reaching for imaginary straws now that you/Barrett/Dems have lost your main "talking point" re: jobs. The DNC just announced they are shifting funds out of Wi to other races where they think they can win. + 6% Walker with three weeks to go. Can't wait to see the Dem spin on that! Starting to sound alot like the Darling/Pasch race with an 8 point margin.

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Geoff Tolley

5:02 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Either he's lying now and was telling the truth then, or he's telling the truth now and lied then. These are the only two options: which is it?

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Geoff Tolley

11:17 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

So unable to escape the reality that Walker is a liar, you now resort to besmirching me by suggesting that I can't possibly have an interest in recalling Walker unless I am paid. Because that's all you have left: baseless allegations.

Tell you what, prove I am paid by United Wisconsin and I'll give you every last penny. Actually, I'll give you a thousand times that. A million times. It's still zero.

And somehow, despite all that, Walker is still a liar. Nice.

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Geoff Tolley

11:45 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

So you accept that Walker is a liar, and you persist in libeling me. Nice!

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Geoff Tolley

12:07 am on Thursday, May 17, 2012

So you accept that Walker is a liar, and you persist in libeling me. Nice!

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Geoff Tolley

1:23 am on Thursday, May 17, 2012

So you accept that Walker is a liar, and are incapable of anything except ad-homs. Nice!

Bewildered

5:15 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Hey Geoff , + 6 %. Sorry buddy.

Let's see, first talking point: AcT10.... Oops, it's working. Can't campaign on that

Let's try jobs..... Nope, darn it, Walker is growing the economy and adding jobs.

Maybe Walker being wrong on a preliminary job report.... Nope, nobody (at least the majority...+ 6 %) cares

Maybe illegal MPS email campaigning.... Darn, got caught on that.

Better march on Madison.... Naw, nobody pays any attention anymore ( except kids who can't go to class cause teachers are illegally taking days off )

I know, let's recall Bush! Yea, that'll work. What, he's been retired for years?

Ah ha !..... Hope and Change in 2008! What? It's 2012 ?

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Geoff Tolley

5:36 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

"Act 10, it's working" - except when you look at the examples Walker cites, for instance this news report on his YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQQFWS6-8xE which claims the Kaukauna school district has a $1.5 million surplus on account of Act 10. Then when you look at the actual surplus (http://tinyurl.com/83y4kv3) you find that it's 40 times less than that and comes at the expense of a closed school, forcing first graders to walk 2 miles to school, and a few dozen layoffs.

Let me put it another way: try naming a single Wisconsinite who is planning to enter the teaching profession, and then tell me that Wisconsin doesn't have a serious, serious problem when it comes to the future of education.

"Walker is growing the economy and adding jobs" - so you don't find a blatantly partisan announcement of a jobs revision that conveniently cannot be compared to other states' results because it's 6 weeks early just a *tiny* bit suspicious? That you have to claim that Walker lied in order to accept these figures? That even if one grants that they're completely accurate, Wisconsin is still five figures behind where we should be if we followed the national jobs recovery?

You want to draw attention to illegal campaigning, but the fact is that either Walker is under criminal investigation for exactly that, or else he's breaking the law by setting up a legal defense fund under §11.64(1). One or the other, you can't pick neither.

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Keith Schmitz

5:41 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Kris' three emails is dwarfed by the potential of larceny conducted by the Walker gang.

But don't worry. We'll hear this ad nausea by the right because in lieu of fact, take one minor incident, puff it up and hammer it over and over again. This is what passed for political discussion on the right.

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Bewildered

6:05 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Let's see if I can respond to a few of your points, tho I must admit they/ you are more than a little hard to follow.

"name a teacher planning to enter teaching ". You gota be kidding, right? At my school this spring, there were 44 applicants for one open position. So you are telling us no recent grads want a job after graduation? Either back up your claim or risk totally losing any credibility.

And to attack Walker for releasing revised and CORRECT job #s early..... Do you really think any politician in a hot campaign would not do exactly the same, esp. when the facts totally disprove his opponents false attacks. Looks like your lack of political naivety is showing.. Good try, tho.

Finally, there is not one piece of evidence that Walkers defense fund is "breaking the law". I guess it's "put up or shut up" for you ( we should be so lucky). Evidence pls.

So, come on, use facts and back your claims. That way, you will be listened to.

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Geoff Tolley

8:56 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

You don't get to use quote marks if you're not actually quoting. Who, in Wisconsin, is planning to enter the teaching profession? Telling me about people who are already in it is not the same thing. How many are starting courses to give them teaching qualifications? Who?

On Walker's defense fund, I gave the reference to the statute that allows it to be set up. You say he is not breaking the law by setting it up - I think you are almost certainly correct. I did not claim that he was breaking that law (thank you for putting words in my mouth yet again, only that either that was the case or, since he has been neither charged nor convicted of a crime (it seems likely it would be public knowledge if that were the case), he is being investigated for a crime. If he's not being investigated for a crime, he is breaking the law by setting up the defense fund. If he is satisfying the law regarding the setting up of a defense fund, then he is being criminally investigated.

Keith Schmitz

5:38 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

This is Walker's version of yellowcake.

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David Tatarowicz

7:41 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

We all know that Figures don't Lie --- but Liars Figure ..... the DWD gets a report from an employer whenever they have a new hire --- mandatory although many small companies probably wouldn't even know about it.

This reporting is actually part of Federal law to find deadbeats who are not paying child support --- from the DWD is the following:

"New hire reporting speeds up the child support income withholding order process, expedites collection of child support from parents who change jobs frequently, and quickly locates alleged fathers/non-custodial parents to help in establishing paternity and child support orders. New hire reporting helps children receive the support they deserve. New hire reporting also saves taxpayers by preventing fraud in welfare, workers compensation and unemployment compensation. Employers are a key partner in ensuring financial stability for many children and families and should take pride in their role.

Temporary agencies are responsible for reporting their workers who sign a W-4 form and report to an assignment.

If the employee filled out a W-4 form and only worked for a few hours, that employee must be reported. Although that employee is no longer with your company."

There is NO reporting for a person who is no longer employed. Even if worked for just two hour -- they are reported as HIRED !! This report Has NO Use for showing how many jobs have been created -- it is a Tracking System for Finding People -- ie. BIG BROTHER !!

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Greg

7:56 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

But yet the BLS survey was the only number that was out of wack. All other indicators showed job growth.

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Vicki Bennett

10:05 am on Thursday, May 17, 2012

He, he... David you are one of a kind. I like your way of thinking. The GOP just can't stop spinning. I don't know about you, but I'm getting dizzy...! There's always a way to pervert the facts. There's a lot of perversion going on with Walker and the TPers.

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Jay Sykes

2:19 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

@David Tatarowicz... I don't believe they are using the 'New Hire Reporting' to calculate the number of jobs created. They used the term 'quarterly reporting', so I think they are using the quarterly-UI reporting forms;employers are required to submit a list of employees and their wages for the quarter. It is used to determine UI benefits and eligibility.
http://dwd.wisconsin.gov/ui201/images/forms/w_quarterly_wage_report.htm

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CowDung

3:41 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

Vicki:

You may want to note that David is the one that is guilty of the 'perverted spinning' that seems to be making you dizzy...

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Terry Tripp

2:43 pm on Sunday, May 27, 2012

That would explain the large shift in numbers from earlier reports. The problem I have with republicans is that they push flat out lies like it was the truth. The reason being is that if you have enough money hammering the lies home the other side can't refute them fast enough nor with enough strength.

David Tatarowicz

8:25 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

@Greg Just what would those indicators be? The unemployment percentage does not count people out of work -- it counts people on unemployment comp -- once that runs out, they are off the rolls --- I am not saying that there are Any Good Numbers out there --- they are all designed for specific purposes and can be interpreted in many ways -- often wrongly.

What we really need is a system for a Hard number that counts Fully Employed people 65 and under who are employed at a job that compensates them for their skill level. NO such system exists at present.

Anecdotes are not normally very trustworthy -- but in our present economy everyone knows many folks unemployed, underemployed, and temporarily employed.

Corporations are taking advantage of the job market -- such as Harley and Mercury when they black mailed their employees to take pay cuts and reduced benefits or they would move the work away. If we had a vibrant economy and a good job picture here, that tactic would not work.

Right now I know several people living here in WI who have to travel everyday to Illinois or Minnesota for their jobs --- because they aren't here!

In any case, in an apples to apples comparison with a system that is not very good, WI was dead last in creating jobs. Now maybe we were really not quite dead last, maybe just 5th from last --- in any case, Cold Comfort to those who need work.

Walker is too interested in an agenda that is not creating jobs -- period !

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Geoff Tolley

9:07 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Actually the CPS counts as unemployed those people who have been actively looking for work (searching for job listings does not count; apply for an opening does) but don't have a job. UI claims factor into local estimates of the unemployment rate, but the UI claim rate tends to run at only about half the headline unemployment rate.

The employment rate is a rather better indicator of the health of the economy as a whole, agreed: the number of jobs should be expected to shift with demographic changes as well as the fundamentals of the economy, and the U3 rate can be deceptive in a variety of situations.

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Greg

9:52 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

"Walker is too interested in an agenda that is not creating jobs -- period !"

And Barrett has only his wind mill plan and a truely rotten track record. Barrett had backing from Doyle for much of his administration and Milwaukee is a disaster. The black male unemployment rate in Milwaukee is over 53% and if we follow your explanation of the numbers, it's much worse than that. Stomp your feet and scream that Walker is cooking the employment books, but he is still the much better choice of the two. If you want to recall, due to jobs, every democrat in the Capitol has done nothing but obstruct job creation. Go after them.
The recall was never about jobs, but it is now just one of the straws you are grasping at.

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Geoff Tolley

11:31 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Let's compare Walker's and Barrett's track records.

We can make a very appropriate comparison between April 2004 (when Barrett became Mayor of Milwaukee) and December 2010 (when Walker ceased to be the Milwaukee County Executive).

City unemployment rose 0.7%. County unemployment rose 1.5%.

If there's a rotten track record to be had in Milwaukee, it's Walker's.

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Greg

3:26 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

But since Walker left the City of Milwaukee unemployment rate has gone up 29%. I guess Walker was good for Milwaukee and barrett is still an empty shirt.

Taylor

10:36 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

So if responsibility for the economic state in Milwaukee rests solely on Barret's shoulders then wouldn't responsibility for all the jobs gained/lost rest solely on the shoulders of the mayors of every individual city?

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Greg

10:58 pm on Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Sure, why not?
Makes more sense than the left's claim that Milwaukee's employment problems are Walker's falt, but Wisconsins employment problems are not Obama's fault.
Just blame it alll on Walker, it's fun and we get to bang on drums.

Taylor

8:49 am on Thursday, May 17, 2012

Greg ever think it wouldn't be so easy to blame Walker if he didn't come across like a power hungry ass? While I do not agree with his politics I could live with them. It was his remark about planting fake protesters that decided the recall for me. Then to have him follow that up with restrictions on gatherings in the building as well. People like that simply do not belong in any position of power. He made it perfectly clear he has no problems abusing his power. And don't hand me that bullshit about cleanup costs! I'm sick of people complaining that their rights are too expensive. Besides the cost ended up being less than $5 per person in the state.

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Greg

3:31 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

So you prefer having the public unions steal hundreds of millions of dollars from us taxpayers and you must really want Wisconsin to be upside-down like California.

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Terry Tripp

2:54 pm on Sunday, May 27, 2012

Public unions steal Greg? What about multi million dollar CEO's wage packages?

Tbone

12:43 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

These figures are suspicious to say the least.

1. These revised numbers aren't ever released until the end of June.

2. The guy who made up these numbers is a Walker appointee.

3. While the jobs numbers are always revised they have never been off by more than about .5%. This is over 2% so thats about 4 times further off than they have ever been in recent history.

4. Last year we had a budget shortfall because of lost tax revenue from lost jobs. Tax collections don't lie. We were down something like 170 million because of about 30 thousand lost jobs.

5. Walker had his advertisement released within 1 hour of these numbers being released. That means he knew the figures in advance which should have been impossible without illegal collusion.

Basically Its pretty obvious this is a desperate attempt to lie about what a failure he is.

When THE REAL jobs numbers come out at the end of June you will see that they have been re-revised back to a net loss. Guaranteed.

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Bewildered

1:10 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

If you read and comprehended the jobs report, you would clearly know these are the real numbers. Even Barrett and Tate are not questioning them, only the timing.

In point 3, you state that the numbers have never been off by more than 5%, but then make a big deal bout the recent numbers being revised by 2%. Can't have it both wys. Either read your own comments or stop trying to justify your comments with bogus info.

Re: timing, get real. These are the acute #s and voters deserve to have all the facts. There is no politician alive that would not use all the available facts ( note I say "facts") when campaigning. Your niavity is showing, my friend

Seems as if you advocate not letting voters make decisions on latest facts. Bottom line, if Barrett accepts revised #, why can't you.

"And the truth shall set you free"

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Geoff Tolley

1:29 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

Trouble is that in granting the numbers in this new report are 100% above board, Wisconsin's 2011 jobs record rises from apocalyptic all the way up to national disgrace.

Actually it doesn't even do that, because there aren't any comparable numbers out for any other state's QWEC at all. If there is a reason the CES is out of sync with QWEC for Wisconsin's jobs, Walker has offered no explanation for it and hence no reason why the same issue wouldn't apply equally to all other states as well.

So there's nothing here that suggests Walker has led Wisconsin to anything but last place in 2011 job creation, even granting everything in Newsom's report.

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Bewildered

1:38 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

So I take it you agree that the revised #s are "100% above board"? Welcome back from the dark side !

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CowDung

1:44 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

Even if the gain of 33,000 jobs is only good enough for 'last place', why is that such a bad thing? It's still 33,000 jobs on the positive side...

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Geoff Tolley

1:47 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

The conclusions from it are that: (a) Walker's 2011 job creation record is now a national disgrace; (b) the new figures do nothing to raise Wisconsin off the bottom of the charts in job creation; and (c) Walker lied his ass off in 2011 by citing data he knew was bovine manure for political gain (especially the June jobs report just before the summer's Senate recall elections).

Do you accept that?

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Geoff Tolley

1:53 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

@Cowdung: the 33,000 figure requires a certain amount of twisting and turning.

It's the sum of the 2011 figures (using the QWEC as gospel and the CES survey as a waste of paper) and the 2012 figures (which don't have QWEC at all and treating the CES survey as gospel).

If we're still in last place, the fact of the matter is that Walker represents the bottom 2% of state-level economic leadership in this country and we could do so much better than him with any random governor.

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CowDung

2:56 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

As I mentioned in other threads, if Wisconsin is at full employment, we would be likely also be last in job creation. Being last in 'job creation' is not necessarily a bad thing. Our unemployment rate is still better than that of most other states...

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Greg

3:45 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

Barrett's unemployment rate for black males is over 53%. So let's give him a better job?
Why don't we talk Barrett? The leftys are good at cutting people down, but they never have a solution. Barrett has a war on black males and the left deflects towards Governor Walker. We celebrate the jobs numbers, after all it is good for Wisconsin, and the democrats, lead by Zelinski, push for our state to fail. They are out burning signs and next they will probably be burning our flag.

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Terry Tripp

2:58 pm on Sunday, May 27, 2012

Truth is not something that I equate with republican politics.

The Donny Show

2:52 pm on Thursday, May 17, 2012

Little Man Tate does not dispute the numbers. He is just mad they were released. Yep, that makes sense.

Walker will be Governor of WI for as long as he wants.

Deal with it.

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Terry Tripp

3:05 pm on Sunday, May 27, 2012

He has obviously bought your vote. Note that most republicans will not use there real names on these blogs.

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